SpaceX and Tesla Explore Merger; Ken Griffin Calls AI a Bubble


SpaceX and Tesla boards form special-committee reviews; SpaceX’s Super Intelligence posts $7.6B quarter. Anthropic’s draft shows $16.3B H1 revenue and huge cloud commitments. Ken Griffin warns AI is likely a bubble.

Editorial companion

What stands out

Elon Musk said SpaceX and Tesla boards have formed independent special committees to review a possible merger, and he confirmed he is recused as a conflicted party while warning that a deal is not a sure thing. SpaceX’s Super Intelligence unit reported $7.6B in the quarter, up 830 percent and now larger than Starlink. Anthropic’s draft prospectus shows $16.3B of revenue in the first half and very large noncancelable cloud commitments. Ken Griffin called artificial intelligence a likely bubble, while Netflix guided to another quarter of slowing subscriber growth and United trimmed its fuel outlook.

Bullish Gator Snapshot

Current ratings and signals

Netflix (NFLX) Neutral

NFLX rates Neutral overall. The fundamental read is bullish: the company passes 6 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is in the Safe zone (Altman Z = 5.29); revenue is growing about 12.7% per year; net income is growing about 35.9% per year. The technical picture is bearish: price is 20.0% below the 200-day moving average; 11.3% below the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Death cross. Sentiment is bearish (composite 28/100), based on 5 news articles, 6 TV segments, and 5 qualified videos from recent coverage.

Nvidia (NVDA) Bullish

NVDA rates Bullish overall. The fundamental read is bullish: the company passes 4 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is in the Safe zone (Altman Z = 66.28); revenue is growing about 101.9% per year; net income is growing about 104.8% per year. The technical picture is neutral: price is 3.7% above the 200-day moving average; 5.1% below the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Golden cross. Sentiment is bullish (composite 72/100), based on 3 news articles, 5 TV segments, and 6 qualified videos from recent coverage.

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Neutral

TSLA rates Neutral overall. The fundamental read is neutral: the company passes 5 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is in the Safe zone (Altman Z = 17.58); revenue is growing about 5.6% per year; net income is declining about 26.6% per year. The technical picture is neutral: price is 3.7% below the 200-day moving average; 2.3% above the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Death cross. Sentiment is neutral (composite 52/100), based on 8 news articles, 8 TV segments, and 5 qualified videos from recent coverage.

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Bearish

UAL rates Bearish overall. The fundamental read is neutral: the company passes 7 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is flagged Distress (Altman Z = 1.33); revenue is growing about 9.7% per year; net income is growing about 94.0% per year. The technical picture is bearish: price is 9.6% below the 200-day moving average; 10.3% below the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Golden cross. Sentiment is bearish (composite 28/100), based on 4 news articles, 1 TV segment, and 6 qualified videos from recent coverage.

United Parcel Service (UPS) Neutral

UPS rates Neutral overall. The fundamental read is neutral: the company passes 5 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is in the Grey zone (Altman Z = 2.92); revenue is declining about 3.9% per year; net income is declining about 19.8% per year. The technical picture is neutral: price is 1.3% below the 200-day moving average; 2.2% above the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Death cross. Sentiment is neutral (composite 60/100), based on 6 news articles from recent coverage.

United Rentals (URI) Bullish

URI rates Bullish overall. The fundamental read is neutral: the company passes 5 of 9 quality tests on the Piotroski F-Score; balance sheet is in the Grey zone (Altman Z = 2.90); revenue is growing about 11.7% per year; net income is growing about 6.1% per year. The technical picture is bullish: price is 14.1% above the 200-day moving average; 5.1% above the 50-day; the 50/200 relationship is in a Golden cross. Sentiment is bullish (composite 74/100), based on 5 news articles from recent coverage.