Zachary Hill: How a September 25bp Hike and Post-Labor Day Pullback Affect Stocks


Hill says a possible 25bp September hike hinges on CPI; pullback likely after Labor Day, but he’d buy if the economy holds and no hiking cycle begins.

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What stands out

Zachary Hill's short take on Schwab Network matters because it captures what markets are doing right now: traders are pricing a 25 basis point interest rate hike for September, and the next Consumer Price Index (CPI) print looks decisive. Hill argues that a single move won't change the long-term picture unless it marks the beginning of a tightening cycle, and he warns a pullback is likely after Labor Day while saying he'd be a buyer if the economy doesn't deteriorate. It is a tidy reminder that Wall Street trades the path of policy, not just the level.