JPMorgan’s Arindam Sandilya says yen appreciation alone won’t force carry-trade unwinds; diversified funding and risk of a deflationary shock—possibly from a premature end to the AI cycle—pose bigger threats.
Editorial companion
CNBC International Live ran a short, sharp reminder: yen moves alone are no longer the automatic market detonator they once were. JPMorgan’s Arindam Sandilya points out that carry-trade funding has migrated away from a single currency into a basket of low-yielders, so a stronger yen is less likely to force a mass unwind. He also flipped the script, saying the bigger threat is a deflationary shock if the artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle cools prematurely, which reframes where macro risk really sits right now.