TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
TECHNICAL RATING
TECHNICAL SCORE
94 / 100
Summary
Price sits above the key averages: about 8.2% above the 20-day, 7.2% above the 50-day and 12.1% above the 200-day, and the 50/200-day relationship is a Golden cross. Momentum is confirming that trend, with MACD trading above its signal line and an RSI(14) near 72 indicating an overbought short-term reading. The move is accompanied by a breakout above the upper Bollinger band and volume running above its 20-day average, which lends conviction but also flags a volatility expansion. Watch whether price can hold the upper band and the 20-day area; a decisive failure back inside the bands or a drop in RSI below 70 would change the picture.
Price & Moving Averages
Volume
RSI (14)
MACD (12/26/9)
Formula & Methodology
Short-term trendPrice vs. 20-day moving average (weight 10%)
Intermediate trendPrice vs. 50-day moving average (weight 15%)
Long-term regimePrice vs. 200-day moving average (weight 25%)
Cross state50/200 Golden or Death cross (weight 10%)
Momentum + trendMACD 12/26/9 vs signal line (weight 15%)
Momentum bandsRSI (14) state (weight 10%)
VolatilityBollinger-band position (weight 5%)
ConfirmationVolume vs 20-day average (weight 10%)
Rating ruleFormula: the Technical Score is a weighted composite of eight inputs. Trend inputs — price vs. the 20-day (10%), 50-day (15%), and 200-day (25%) moving averages, and the 50/200 Golden or Death cross state (10%) — carry roughly 60% of the weight. Momentum inputs — MACD (12/26/9) vs. its signal line (15%) and RSI (14) state (10%) — carry 25%. Bollinger-band position (5%) and volume vs. the 20-day average (10%) round out the remainder. Each input contributes +1, 0, or -1, weights are re-normalized when a component is unavailable, and the weighted sum is thresholded at +/-0.45 to Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish.
Data Source
Market data sourced from Tiingo. End-of-day prices and volume power the charts and indicators (MA20/50/200, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Volume) on this page. This page is informational analysis, not investment advice. See Financial Disclaimer.