SENTIMENT ANALYSIS
CF
CF Industries
Last Updated: 2026-10-26View stock page →
SENTIMENT RATING
SENTIMENT SCORE
Neutral
60 / 100
Summary
Coverage is mixed: large institutional purchases (TD Waterhouse added 204,231 shares and Signaturefd added 31,446 shares) and a 50.61% year-to-date gain point to investor interest, while a Trump Russia tariff waiver removing prior protection for domestic fertilizer producers is flagged as likely to pressure CF's pricing and market share. Sources diverge between buy-side accumulation and a concrete policy headwind, and the modestly positive GDELT tone (54/100) slightly supports the buy-side signals but does not outweigh the tariff risk.

Signal Breakdown

NNews
65/ 100Neutral

5 verified publisher articles from recent coverage.

TVTV
0/ 100No data

Limited TV coverage this week.

VVideos
0/ 100No data

Limited video coverage this week.

GTGDELT Tone
54/ 100Neutral

GDELT tone + context across verified sources.

What’s Driving Sentiment

Bullish Signals

  • TD Waterhouse Canada increased its CF stake by 204,231 shares, a 3,023% rise, to hold 210,987 shares after Q3 per an SEC filing.
  • Signaturefd LLC raised its CF stake by 31,446 shares, a 1,037.5% increase, owning 34,477 shares after the purchase.
  • CF is up 50.61% year-to-date, reflecting strong recent investor returns.

Risk Factors

  • Trump’s Russia tariff waiver removed tariff-based protection that had advantaged domestic fertilizer producers and is likely to pressure CF's pricing.
  • The stock has declined 3.51% over the past 90 days, indicating recent near-term weakness.
  • The policy change creates uncertainty around CF's near-term pricing dynamics and competitive position.
Key ThemesNo themes listed

Evidence

Showing 5 of 5 verified news articles

  • No current evidence is available for this source.

No current verified Archive TV segments

  • No current evidence is available for this source.

No verified video evidence in the current 7-day window

Formula & Methodology
News
GDELT discovers coverage; only publisher passages that directly name the company qualify as news evidence.
TV
Internet Archive TV captions are retained only with a match-centered quote that directly names the company.
Video
Recent Bullish Gator videos tagged to the company; the item summary and publisher label feed the judge.
Holistic AI judge
A single Azure OpenAI call reads the news, television, and video evidence together and returns the rating, a 0–100 composite, and a short rationale. Thresholds are enum-only: 65+ Bullish, 35 or lower Bearish, Neutral in between.
Data Source

News evidence comes from the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph (via BigQuery); TV evidence from the Internet Archive TV News Archive; video evidence from recent Bullish Gator video coverage. Azure OpenAI filters per-article relevance and serves as the holistic AI judge that produces the composite rating. Portions use data from The GDELT Project under open data terms. This page is informational analysis, not investment advice. See Financial Disclaimer.